YALE DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS
SEPARATE WHEN EQUAL? Patrick Bayer, Hanming Fang, and Robert McMillan October 2005 Standard intuition suggests that residential segregation in the United
States will decline when racial inequality narrows. In this paper, we hypothesize that the
opposite will occur. We note that middle-class black neighborhoods are in short supply in
many U.S. metropolitan areas, forcing highly educated blacks either to live in
predominantly white high-socioeconomic status (SES) neighborhoods or in more black
lower-SES neighborhoods. Increases in the proportion of highly educated blacks in a
metropolitan area may then lead to the emergence of new middle-class black neighborhoods,
causing increases in residential segregation. We formalize this mechanism using a simple
model of residential choice that permits endogenous neighborhood formation. Our primary
empirical analysis, based on across-MSA evidence from the 2000 Census, indicates that this
mechanism does indeed operate: as the proportion of highly educated blacks in an MSA
increases, so the segregation of blacks at all education levels increases. Time-series
evidence provides additional support for the hypothesis, showing that an increase in black
educational attainment in a metropolitan area between 1990-2000 significantly increases
segregation. Our analysis has important implications for the evolution of both residential
segregation and racial socioeconomic inequality, drawing attention to a negative feedback
loop likely to inhibit reductions in segregation and racial inequality over time. |