YALE DEPARTMENT OF ECONOMICS
DOES EMPLOYMENT PROTECTION CREATE Björn Brügemann September 2006 This paper investigates the ability of employment protection to
generate its own political support. A version of the Mortensen-Pissarides model is used
for this purpose. Under the standard assumption of Nash bargaining, workers value
employment protection because it strengthens their hand in bargaining. Workers in high
productivity matches benefit most from higher wages as they expect to stay employed for
longer. By reducing turnover employment protection shifts the distribution of
match-specific productivity toward lower values. Thus stringent protection in the past
actually reduces support for employment protection today. Introducing involuntary
separations is a way of reversing this result. Now workers value employment protection
because it delays in-voluntary dismissals. Workers in low productivity matches gain most
since they face the highest risk of dismissal. The downward shift in the productivity
distribution is now a shift towards ardent supporters of employment protection. In a
calibrated example this mechanism sustains both low and high employment protection as
stationary political outcomes. A survey of German employees provides support for
employment protection being more strongly favored by workers likely to be dismissed. |