MINCHUL KIM

Home Address:
  111 Park Street, Apt 10M
  New Haven, CT 06511
  Phone: (203) 785-8166

Office Address:
  Department of Economics
  Yale University
  Box 208268
  New Haven, CT 06511-8268
  Phone: (203) 432-0000
  Fax:: (203) 432-6323

Citizenship:
Republic of Korea
Fields of Concentration

Industrial Organization
Applied Microeconomics
Applied Econometrics

Desired Teaching:

Industrial Organization
Microeconomic Theory
Applied Microeconomics
Econometrics

Comprehensive Examinations Completed:

1998 (Oral) Industrial Organization and Microeconomic Theory
1997 (Written) Microeconomic and Macroeconomic Theory

Dissertation Title:

The Determinants of Internet Retailer Location in the United States

Committee:

Professor Steven Berry
Professor Martin Pesendorfer
Professor Christopher Timmins

Expected Completion Date:

May 2003

Degrees:

M.Phil. (1998), Economics, Yale University
M.A. (1997), Economics, Yale University
B.A. (1991), Economics, Seoul National University

Fellowships, Honors and Awards:

Yale University Fellowship, Fall 1998~Spring 2000
Yale University Dissertation Fellowship, Fall 1999
Japan-IMF Scholarship for Advanced Studies, Fall 1996~Spring 1998

Teaching Experience:

Teaching Assistant, Introductory Microeconomics, Yale University, Fall 2000, Spring 2001, Fall 2001, Spring 2002
Mathematical Economics, Yale University, Spring 2000, Spring 1999
Theory of Resource Allocation and its Applications, Yale University, Fall 1998

Research Experience:

Summer Intern, Research Department, International Monetary Fund, Summer 1998

Papers:

"The Determinants of Mail-order Retailer Location in the U.S.", Manuscript, Spring 1999

"Estimating the value of adding reputation in ebay auctions", work in progress

References:

Professor Steven Berry
Department of Economics
Yale University
Box 208264
New Haven, CT 06520-
8264
Fax: (203) 432-6323
E-mail: steven.berry@yale.edu

Professor Christopher Timmins
Department of Economics
Yale University
Box 208264
Fax: (203) 432-6323
E-mail: christopher.timmins@yale.edu

Professor Martin Pesendorfer
Department of Economics and Political Science
London School of Economics
Houghton Street
London WC2A 2AE
Phone: +44 (0) 20 7955 7542
E-mail: m.pesendorfer@lse.ac.uk
Dissertation Abstract:

The last several years have witnessed the substantial growth of the Internet and the consequent expansion of e-commerce. Some believe that the Internet has created a cyberspace, where buyers and sellers are searched and matched with little friction. The notion of cyberspace seems to make economic geography quite irrelevant. This dissertation studies the determinants of Internet retailer location in the age of the Internet, which many think is diminishing the importance of geographic location.

Does location matter for Internet retailers? The first chapter tries to answer the question by developing a simple model of one Internet retailer and two states, where the loophole in sales tax collection and shipping costs play a central role in the retailer’s locational choices. It is common for Internet retailers not to collect sales taxes on out-of-state purchases. This loophole in sales tax collection has been in the center of debates among state authorities who are primarily concerned about the shrinking sales tax base caused by the rapid growth of e-commerce. Despite the importance of the sales tax loophole, there has been little research on the issue until very recently. Goolsbee (2000) finds that, controlling for observable characteristics, people living in high sales tax locations are significantly more likely to buy online to avoid sales taxes. In contrast to his study on consumer side, this study investigates the role of the sales tax loophole in Internet retailers’ decisions, focusing attention on location choices. The basic model developed in this chapter shows that the comparison of sales taxes and shipping costs is the key to the location choices and that the location choices can be quite different from the ones without the loophole. In a case where demand conditions are equal and state sales tax rates are different, the model suggests that locating in the state with lower sales tax rate is optimal.

Ongoing debates on taxations over Internet transactions are causing substantial uncertainty among economic agents. Based on the model, the effect of taxation over Internet purchases on location choices and consumer welfare is studied. Adding dynamic components into the base model, this chapter studies the role of uncertainty about the tax policy over the Internet on the retailers’ location choices. Under a setup where a chance of relocation exists after the announcement of tax policy, the joint role of relocation cost and the probability of taxation is found to be crucial in determining initial locations and relocations.

The second chapter empirically verifies the relevance of key variables found in the location model provided in the first chapter, and describes the overall location pattern of the Internet retail industry. The chapter begins with the introduction of a conditional logit model of location choice. The model is applied to original data that includes the frequency distribution of Internet retailers at state level, population, per capita income, sales tax rate, a proxy for average transportation costs, and land area. In the first part of the empirical analysis, a comparison between the location pattern of Internet retailers and that of local retailers is made within the computer retail industry. The purpose of the analysis is to check if the Internet indeed generates a different location pattern in retailing. The second part compares the location pattern of Internet retailers across product categories such as apparel, book, home and garden, electronics, and computer. In the last part, using the predicted probability of new births calculated from logit estimates, the scope of geographic concentration is discussed.

The logit estimates show that Internet retailers are attracted to states with larger population and higher per capita income. While the coefficients on population are close to one, which means that the new births of Internet retailers are roughly unit elastic with respect to population, the coefficients on per capita income ranges from three to six. The sales tax rate and average transportation costs turn out to be significant and of the predicted sign in some product categories. Some of the other major empirical findings are as follows. First, Internet retailers are heavily concentrated in California. Second, bipolar clustering of Internet retailers into the East Coast and the West Coast is common for most product categories with the exception of home and garden category where Midwest region has a strong presence. Third, states located closer to the large population centers attract more Internet retailers. For example, New Jersey, Connecticut, Massachusetts, and Pennsylvania are near New York and they have a higher probability of new births of Internet retailers.

My dissertation sheds light on factors that managers of Internet retailers should take into account in their location choices, for example, in selecting locations for their warehouses. In policy making, particularly related to the taxation of Internet purchases, the dissertation suggests that the current location pattern and the possibility of relocation after the taxation should be an important consideration in understanding the welfare consequences.

In work currently in progress, attention is focused on the warehouse locations of Internet retailers. This work will study the determinants of warehouse location and compare them to those of headquarter locations of Internet retailers.