Yale Department of Economics

Economics 567a
Econometrics Research Seminar

Spring 2008
February 20 Victor Chernozhukov, MIT, "Quantile and Probability Curves without Crossing" (with Ivan Fernandez-Val and Alfred Galichon)
March 5 Silvia Goncalves, University of Montreal, "Improved Methods of Inference for Realized Volatility like Statistics" (based on "Box-Cox Transforms for Realized Volatility" (with Nour Meddah and "Bootstrapping Realized Multivariate Volatility Measures" (with Prosper Dovonon and Nour Meddahi)
March 26 Patrik Guggenberger, UCLA & Cowles Visitor, "The Impact of a Hausman Pretest on the Size of Hypothesis Tests"
April 2 Peter Robinson, LSE, "Nonparametric Regression with Spatial Data"
April 9 Ivana Komunjer, University of California, San Diego, "Global Identification in Nonlinear Semiparametric Models"
April 16 Andrew Chesher, UCLA and Cowles Visitor, "Lectures on Identification — Excess Heterogeneity, Endogeneity and Index Restrictions (Paper A), Identification in Nonseperable Models (Paper B), Instrumental Values (Paper C)" (References)
April 17 Philip Haile, Yale University (Cowles Foundation), "Nonparametric Identification of Multinomial Choice Demand Models with Heterogeneous Comsumers" (with Steven Berry) Special event, joint with IO Workshop
April 23 Andrew Chesher, UCLA and Cowles Visitor, "Endogeneity and Discrete Outcomes"
April 30 Guido Kuersteiner, University of California, Davis, "Estimator Averaging for Two Stage Least Squares" (with Ryo Okui)
May 7 Karim Chalak, Boston College, "Independence and Conditional Independence in Causal Systems" (with Halbert White) and "Identification with Conditioning Instruments in Causal Systems" (with Halbert White)
2007
February 28 Michael Jansson, UC Berkeley, "Optimal Inference for Instrumental Variables Regression with non-Gaussian Errors" (with Matias D. Cattaneo and Richard K. Crump)
March 7 Fallaw Sowell, Carnegie Mellon University, "An Improved Approximation to the Distributions in GMM Estimation"
March 28 Juergen Gaul, University of Bonn, "A Partially Linear Approach to Modelling the Dynamics of Spot and Future Prices" (with Erik Theissen)
April 4 Arie Beresteanu, Duke University, "Asymptotic Properties for a Class of Partially Identified Models" (with Francesca Molinari)
April 11 Eric Renault, University of North Carolina, "Efficient GMM with Nearly-Weak Identification" (with Antoine Bertille)
April 18 Peter Rossi, University of Chicago, "A Non-Parametric Bayesian Approach to the Instrumental Variable Problem" (with Tim Conley, Chris Hansen, and Rob McCulloch)
May 9 Ignacio Lobato, ITAM, "A Consistent Specification Test for Models Defined by Conditional Moment Restrictions" (with Manual A. Dominguez)
September 12 Yixiao Sun, University of CA - San Diego (visiting the Cowles Foundation) ,"Bandwith Choice of Interval Estimation in GMM Regression" (with Peter Phillips)
September 19 Shakeeb Kahn, Duke University "Irregular Identification, Support Conditions and Inverse Weight Estimation" (with Elie Tamer)
September 26 Jiti Gao, University of Western Australia (visiting the Cowles Foundation), "A New Test in Parametric Linear Models with Nonparametric Autoregressive Errors" (with Maxwell King)
October 3 Stefan Hodserlein, Universtitat Mannheim, "Recall Errors in Survey" (with Joachim Winter)
October 10 Simon Lee, University College London, "Testing for Stochastic Monotonicity" (with Oliver Linton and Yoon-Jae Whang)
October 17 Jim Powell, University of CA, Berkeley "Simple Estimators for Semiparametric Multinomial Choice"
October 24 P. Jeganathan, Indian Statistical Institute (visiting the Cowles Foundation), "A Nonlinear Regression Model with Integrated Time Series" (with Peter Phillips)
October 31 Lung-fei Lee, Ohio State University, "Quasi-Maximum Likelihood Estimators for Spatial Dynamic Panel Data with Fixed Effects when both n and T are Large: A Nonstationary Case"  (with Jihai Yu and Robert de Jong)
November 7 Yingyao Hu, Johns Hopkins University, "Estimating First-Price Auctions with Unknown Number of Bidders: A Misclassification Approach" (with Matt Shum)
November 14 Oliver Linton, London School of Economics (visiting the Cowles Foundation), "Efficient Estimation of a Semiparametric Characteristic-Based Factor Model of Security Returns" (with Gregory Connor and Matthias Hagmann)
November 28 Joerg Stoye, New York University, "More on Confidence Intervals for Partially Identified Parameters"
December 5 Rohit Deo, University of Texas-Austin-Stern, "The Chi-Square Approximation of the Restricted Likelihood Ratio Test for the Sum of Autoregressive Coefficients with Interval Estimation" and "Bias Reduction and Likelihood Based Almost-Exactly Sized Hypothesis Testing in Predictive Regressions using the Restricted Likelihood" (both with Willa Chen)
2006
February 22 Ed Vytlacil, Columbia University, "Threshold Crossing Models and Bounds on Treatment Effects: A Nonparametric Analysis" (with A. Shaikh)
March 1 Victor Chernozhukov, MIT, "Estimation and Confidence Regions for Parameter Sets in Econometrics Models"
March 29 Giuseppe Ragusa, Rutgers University, "Bayesian (and Classical) Properties of Minimum Divergence and Generalized Empirical Likelihood Methods"
April 5 Xiaohong Chen, New York University, "Estimation of Possibly Misspecified Semiparametric Conditional Moment Restriction Models with Different Conditioning Variables" (with Chunrong Ai)
April 12 Frank Kleibergen, Brown University, "Subset Statistics in the Linear IV Regression Model"
April 19 Marcelo Moreira, Harvard University (visiting the Cowles Foundation), "Optimal Inference in Regression Models with Nearly Integrated Regressors" (with Michael Jansson) and "Optimal One-Sided Tests for Instrumental Variables Regression" (with Donald Andrews and James Stock)
April 26 Andres Aradillas-Lopez, Princeton University, "Semiparametric Estimation of a Simultaneous Game with Incomplete Information"
May 3 Laura Chioda, Princeton University, "Optimal Conditional Inference for Instrumental Variables Regression" (with Michael Jansson)
May 10 Richard Smith, University of Cambridge, "Exogeneity in Semiparametric Models: Definitions and Tests" (with Paulo M.D.C. Parente)
September 13 Debopam Bhattacharya, Dartmouth College and Yale University, "Inference on Optimal Matching from Experimental Data"
September 20 Qiying Wang, University of Sydney and Yale University, "Long-Range Dependent Time Series Specification" (with Jiti Gao)
September 27 Azeem Shaikh, University of Chicago and Yale University, "Stepup Procedures for Control of Generalizations of the Familywise Error Rate" (with Joseph Romano) and "On Stepdown Control of the False Discovery Proportion' (with Joseph Romano)
October 4 Jean-Pierre Florens, University of Toulouse, "Inverse Problems in Econometrics 2: Statistical Properties of a Solution of an Integral Equation of Type One"
October 11 Eric Gautier, Yale University, "Bayesian Estimation of Finite Population Inequality with Multivariate Bracketed Data"
October 18 Jean-Pierre Florens, University of Toulouse, "Inverse Problems in Econometrics 4: Non-Linear Inverse Problems"
October 25 Keli Xu, Yale University, "Empirical Likelihood Based Inference of Nonlinear Diffusions"
November 1 Huaming Peng, Yale University, "Model Selection in Factor Models Using Posterior Information"
November 8 Brendan Beare, Yale University, "Copulas and Temporal Dependence"
November 15 Serena Ng, University of Michigan, "Instrumental Variable Estimation in a Data Rich Environment" (with Jushan Bai)
November 29 Meet on December 2 at Greater New York Metropolitan Area Econometrics Colloquium
December 6 Marc Henry, Columbia University, "Dilation Bootstrap: A Methodology for Constructing Confidence Regions with Partially Identified Models" (with Alfred Galichon)
December 13 Pascal Lavergne, Simon Fraser University, "One for All and All for One: Dimension Reduction for Regression Checks"
2005  
February 23 KUZNETS LECTURE: Robert Townsend, University of Chicago, "The Thai Economy:  Growth, Inequality, and the Evaluation of Financial Systems"
March 2 Masao Ogaki, Ohio State University, "Structural Spurious Regressions and a Hausman-Wu-Type Cointegration Test"
March 23 Whitney Newey, MIT, "Improved Inference for GMM with Many Moments"
(additional paper with C. Hansen and J. Hausman)
March 31 Rosa Matzkin, Northwestern University, "Identification and Estimation in Structural Nonparametric Models Joint with Applied Microeconomics Workshop
April 6 Werner Ploberger, University of Rochester and Yale University, "Optimal Estimation under Nonstandard Conditions" (with Peter Phillips)
April 20 Bryan S. Graham, Harvard University, "Identifying Social Interactions Through Excess Variance Contrasts"
April 27 Juan Carlos Escanciano, University of Navarra and Yale University, "Model Checks Using Residual Marked Empirical Processes"
September 14 Federico Bandi, University of Chicago, Graduate School of Business, "On the Finite Sample Properties of Kernel-Based Integrated Variance Estimators" (Second Paper: "Microstructure Noise and Volatility Estimation") (both with Jeffrey R. Russell)
September 21 P. Jeganathan, Indian Statistical Institute, "On the Consistency of LS Estimators in Certain Nonlinear Time Series Models"
September 28 Marc Hallin, Free University of Brussels, "The Generalized Dynamic Factor Model: Determining The Number of Factors" (with Roman Liska)
October 12 Don Andrews, Yale University, "Inference with Weak Instruments" (Related paper: "Testing with Many Weak Instruments") (both with James Stock)
October 19 Yoonseok Lee, Yale University, "Nonparametric Approaches to Dynamic Panel Modeling and Bias Correction"
October 26 Huaming Peng, Yale University, "Factor Model Selection and Its Asymptotics"
November 2 Xiaohong Chen, New York University, "Principal Components and the Long Run" (with Lars Peter Hansen and José A. Scheinkman)
November 9 Taisuke Otsu, Yale University, "Minimax Estimation and Testing for Moment Condition Models via Large Deviations" (with Yuichi Kitamura)
November 16 Joanna Haddock, Yale University, "Economic Forecasting with End of Sample Tests"
November 30 Rosa Matzkin, Northwestern University, "Identification in Nonparametric Simultaneous Equations" and "Nonparametric Consumer Demand"
2004  
September 8 David Harris, University of Melbourne, "Panel Stationarity Tests for Purchasing Power Parity with Cross-Sectional Dependence" (with Stephen Leybourne and Brendan McCabe)
September 22 Rustam Ibragimov, Yale University, "On the Robustness of Economic Models to Heavy-Tailedness Assumptions"
September 29 Kevin Song, Yale University, "Testing Semiparametric Conditional Moment Restrictions via Conditional Martingale Transforms"
October 4 Manuel Arellano, CEMFI, "Robust Likelihood Estimation of Dynamic Panel Data Models"
October 13 Vadim Marmer, Yale University, "Nonlinearity, Nonstationarity, and Spurious Forecasts" 
October 20 Erik Hjalmarsson, Yale University, "Predicting Global Stock-Returns with New Methods for Pooled and Long-Run Forecasting Regressions"
October 26 Ryo Okui, Yale University and University of Pennsylvania, TBA
October 27 Oliver Linton, London School of Economics, "Nonparametric Estimation of Homothetic and Homothetically Separable Functions" (with Arthur Lewbel)
November 3 P. Jeganathan, Indian Statistical Institute, "Asymptotic Inference in Some Nonlinear Time Series Models"
November 10 Stefan Hoderlein, University of Mannheim, "Nonparametric Demand Analysis in a Heterogeneous Population Using LPR Based Estimators" (Second paper, with Norbert Christopeit)
December 1 Yuichi Kitamura, Yale University, "Nonparametric Identifiability of Finite Mixtures"
February 11 Yoon-Jae Whang, Korea University,"Consistent Testing for Stochastic Dominance under General Sampling Schemes"
February 25 Dietmar Bauer, Vienna University of Technology, "State Space Representations for Rational Unit Root Processes" (with Martin Wagner)
March 1 Christian Bender, University of Konstanz, "Integration with Respect to a Fractional Brownian Motion and the Fractional Black-Scholes Market"
March 3 Alex Maynard, University of Toronto, "Covariance-based Orthogonality Tests for Regressors with Unknown Persistence with Application to Stock Return Predictability" (with Katsumi Shimotsu)
March 29 Tony Smith, Yale, "Generalized Indirect Inference for Discrete Choice Models"
April 21 Jack Porter, Harvard University, "Efficiency in Asymptotic Shift Experiments"
April 28 Joseph Altonji, Yale, "Selection on Observed and Unobserved Variables: Assessing the Effectiveness of Catholic Schools"
2003  
February 19 John Chao, University of Maryland, "Consistent Estimation with a Large Number of Weak Instruments"
February 26 Hannes Leeb, Temple University, "Performance Limits for Estimators of the Risk or Distribution of Shrinkage-Type Estimators, and Some General Lower Risk-Bound Results"
March 5 Donald Brown and Marten Wegkamp, Yale University, "Tests of Independence in Separable Econometric Models"
April 2 Matthew Rabin, "Piecemeal Preferences"
April 9 Guido Imbens, University of California, Berkeley, "Identification and Inference in Nonlinear Difference-in-differences Models" Joint with Labor and Population
April 16 Yuichi Kitamura, University of Pennsylvania, "A Likelihood-based Approach to the Analysis of a Class of Nested and Non-nested Models"
April 30 Andrew Chesher, University College London, "Instrumental Values"
September 17 Jushan Bai, New York University, "Evaluating Latent and Observed Factors in Macroeconomics and Finance" and "Confidence Intervals for Principal-Components Forecasts with Large Numbers of Predictors"
September 24 Offer Lieberman, Technion – Israel Institute of Technology, "Error Bounds and Asymptotic Expansions for Toeplitz Product Functionals of Unbounded Spectra"
October 1 Tim Vogelsang, Cornell University, "A New Asymptotic Theory for Heteroskedasticity-Autocorrelation Robust Tests"
October 3 Josh Angrish, MIT, "Treatment Effect Heterogeneity in Theory and Practice"  Joint with Labor and Population
October 8 Feng Zhu, Yale University, "Central Bank Balanced Sheet Concerns, Monetary and Fiscal Rules, and Macroeconomic Instability"
October 15 Sainan Jin, Yale University, "Discrete Choice Modeling with Nonstationary Panels"
October 22 Dietmar Bauer, TU Wien (Vienna University of Technology), "Subspace Methods for the Estimation of ARMA Models" and Presentation Slides
October 29 P. Jeganathan, Indian Statistical Institute, "Asymptotics in Some Nonlinear Cointegrated Models" based on the following two papers: "Second Order Limits of Functionals of Sums of Linear Processes that Converge to Fractional Stable Motions" and "Convergence of Functionsld og Dumd of r.v.s. to Local Times of Fractional Stable Motions"
November 5 Luke Hong, Yale University, "Testing Linearity in Cointegrating Relations: Application to PPP"
November 12 Jiti Gao, The University of Western Australia, "Model Selection in Nonparametric and Semiparametric Regression"
December 3 Guido Kuersteiner, MIT, "Bias Reduction for Dynamic Nonlinear Panel Models with Fixed Effects" (with Jinyong Hahn)
December 10 Luke Hong, Yale University, "Testing Linearity in Cointegrating Relations: Application to PPP"
2002  
January 30 Oliver Linton, London School of Economics, "Estimation of Semiparametric Models When the Criterion Function Is Not Smooth"
February 6 Oliver Linton, London School of Economics, "Limit Theorems for Estimating the Parameters of Differentiated Product Demand Systems"
February 11 Oliver Linton, London School of Economics, "Estimating Semiparametric ARCH(inf) Models by Kernel Smoothing Methods"  Joint with Prospectus Workshop in Econometrics
February 27 Offer Lieberman, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology, "High-order Theory ofFractional Guassian Processes"
March 27 Zhijie Xiao, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, "Efficient Regression in Time Series Partial Linear Models"
April 3 Katsumi Shimotsu, University of Essex, "Exact Local Whittle Estimation of Fractional Integration"
April 8 Keith Knight, University of Toronto, "Asymptotics for Argmin Estimators." Joint with Prospectus Workshop in Econometrics
April 10 Keith Knight, University of Toronto, "Regression Quantiles: Second Order Considerations"
April 24 Jong Kim, Yale University and Morten Nielsen, Yale University "Semiparametric Estimation of Time Series Regression with Long Range Dependence"
May 13 John Geweke, University of Iowa, "Compound Markov Mixture Models with Appliations in Finance" Joint with Prospectus Workshop in Econometrics
September 18 Guido Kuersteiner, MIT, "Higher Order Properties of Bootstrap and Jackknife Bias Corrected Maximum Likelihood Estimators"
October 2 Patrik Guggenberger, Yale University, "Generalized Empirical Likelihood and Weak Instruments"
October 16 Lingfeng Li, Yale University, "Correlation of Stock and Bond Returns"
October 23 Jun Yu, University of Auckland, "A Class of Nonlinear Stochastic Volatility Models and Its Implications on Pricing Currency Options"
October 30 Bjorn Tuypens, Yale University, "Stock Market Predictability: Theory and Econometric Tests"
November 6 Jong Kim, Yale University, "Higher-Order Improvements of the Restricted Parametric Bootstrap for Tests"
November 13 Katsumi Shimotsu, University of Essex, "Exact Local Whittle Estimation of Fractionally Cointegrated Systems"
November 20 George Korniotis, Yale University, "Testing External Habits in U.S. State Consumption"
December 4 P. Jeganathan, Indian Statistical Institute, "Convergence of Functionals of Sums of Fractionally Integrated Processes"
December 11 P. Jeganathan, Indian Statistical Institute, "Asymptotic Inference in Nonlinear Conintegrated Time Series with Fractionally Integrated and Possibly Heavy Tailed Errors" and "Asymptotic Inference in A Non-Linear Cointegrated Model"
2001  
February 14 In Choi, Yale University, "Cointegrating Smooth Transition Regressions with Applications to the Asian Currency Crisis"
February 28 Sam Thompson, Harvard University, "Specification Tests for Conditional Distributions, with an Application to Models for the Spot Interest Rate"
March 21 Javier Hidalgo, LSE, "Estimation of the Location of the Pole: The Parametric and Nonparametric Approach"
March 28 Robert de Jong, Michigan State University, "Least Squares with Powers of Integrated Processes as Regressors"
April 11 Susanne Schennach, University of Chicago, "Estimation of Nonlinear Models with Measurement Error"
September 19 Bo Honoré, Princeton University, "Estimation of Cross Sectional and Panel Data Censored Regression Models with Endogeneity"
October 3 Ling Hu, Yale University, "Dependence Patterns across Markets: Methods and Evidence"
October 8 Richard Smith, University of Bristol, "Alternative Methods for Heteroskedastic and Autocorrelation Variance Matrix Estimation"
October 10 Richard Smith, University of Bristol, "Higher Order Properties of GMM and Generalized Empirical Likelihood Estimators"
October 31 Yixiao Sun, Yale University, "Modeling Panel Clusters with Application in Convergence Clubs"
November 7 Alberto Abadie, John F. Kennedy School, Harvard University, "Simple and Bias-Corrected Matching Estimators for Average Treatment Effects"
November 28 Frank Kleibergen, University of Amsterdam, "Testing Parameters in GMM Without Assuming That They are Identified"
December 5 Ray C. Fair, Yale University, "Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models"
2000  
February 14 In Choi, Yale University, "Cointegrating Smooth Transition Regressions with Applications to the Asian Currency Crisis"
February 28 Sam Thompson, Harvard University, "Specification Tests for Conditional Distributions, with an Application to Models for the Spot Interest Rate"
March 21 Javier Hidalgo, LSE, "Estimation of the Location of the Pole: The Parametric and Nonparametric Approach"
March 28 Robert de Jong, Michigan State University, "Least Squares with Powers of Integrated Processes as Regressors"
April 11 Susanne Schennach, University of Chicago, "Estimation of Nonlinear Models with Measurement Error"
September 13 Offer Lieberman, Technion-Israel Institute of Technology and Yale University, "Valid Asymptotic expansions for the Maximum Likelihood Estimator of the Parameter of a Stationary, Gaussian, Strongly Dependent Process"
September 20 Xiaohong Chen, London School of Economics, "Efficient Estimation of Models with Conditional Moment Restrictions Containing Unknown Functions" (with Chunrong Ai).
October 4 Konstantin Tyurin, Yale University, "A Semiparametric Competing Risk Model of a Limit Order Market"
October 18 David McKenzie, Yale University, "Consumption Growth in a Booming Economy:   Taiwan 1976-96"
November 1 Guido Kuersteiner, MIT, "Weak Instruments in Dynamic Panel Models with Fixed Effects"
November 29 Dmitry Dubasov, Yale University, Corporate Investment and Financing Constraints"
1999  
February 14 In Choi, Yale University, "Cointegrating Smooth Transition Regressions with Applications to the Asian Currency Crisis"
February 28 Sam Thompson, Harvard University, "Specification Tests for Conditional Distributions, with an Application to Models for the Spot Interest Rate"
March 21 Javier Hidalgo, LSE, "Estimation of the Location of the Pole: The Parametric and Nonparametric Approach"
March 28 Robert de Jong, Michigan State University, "Least Squares with Powers of Integrated Processes as Regressors"
April 11 Susanne Schennach, University of Chicago, "Estimation of Nonlinear Models with Measurement Error"
September 22 Peter C.B. Phillips, Yale University, "Discrete Fourier Transforms of Fractional Processes"
September 29 Katsumi Shimotsu, Yale University, "Local Whittle and Modified Local Whittle Regression in the Nonstationary Case"
October 6 Chang Sik Kim, Yale University, "Asymptotics of Log Periodogram Regression: The Nonstationary Case"
October 13 Kostya Tyurin, Yale University, "Local Density of Fractional Brownian Motion"
October 20 Moto Shintani, Yale University, "Is There Chaos in the U.S. Economy? Testing the Statistical Significance of Lyapunov Exponent from Neural Networks"
October 22 Robert Engle, University of California, San Diego, "CAViaR: Conditional Value at Risk by Regression Quantiles"
October 23-24 COWLES CONFERENCE: New Developments in Time Series Econometrics
October 27 Thong Nguyen, Yale University, "A Nonparametric Analysis of the Heath-Jarrow-Morton Models of Interest Rate"
November 3 Joon Park, Seoul National University (visiting Yale), "Nonlinear Regressions with Integrated Time Series"
November 10 Yoon-Jae Whang, Ewha Womans University (visiting Yale), "Testing for the Martingale Hypothesis"
November 17 Yoosoon Chang, Rice University (visiting Yale), A Sieve Bootstrap for the Test of a Unit Root"
December 1 Donald Andrews, Yale University, "Higher-order Improvements of a Computationally Attractive k-step Bootstrap for Extremum Estimators"
January 27 Yacine Ait-Sahalia, Princeton University, "Maximum-likelihood Estimation of Discretely Sampled Diffusions: A Closed-form Approach"
February 10 Christopher Sims, Yale University, "A Bayesian Perspective on Non-Parametrics"
February 19 Joel Horowitz, University of Iowa, "An Adaptive, Rate-Optimal Test of a Parametric Model Against a Nonparametric Alternative"
1998  
September 16 Peter C.B. Phillips, Yale University, "Nonlinear Integration"
September 23 Mototsugu Shintani, Yale University, "A Simple Cointegrating Rank Test Without Parametric Specification"
September 30 James MacKinnon, Queens University, "Bootstrap Tests of Nonnested Linear Regression Models"
October 7 Binbin Guo, Yale University, "Testing for Autocorrelation and Unit Roots in the Presence of Conditional Heteroskedasticity of Unknown Form"
October 14 Alex Maynard, Yale University, "Rethinking an Old Empirical Puzzle: Econometric Evidence on the Forward Discount Anomaly"
October 21 Federico Bandi, Yale University, "Some New Methods in the Econometrics of Continuous-Time Finance"
October 28 Woocheol Kim, Yale University, "Econometric Analysis of Locally Stationary Time Series Models"
November 4 Tim Vogelsang, Cornell University, "Simple Robust Testing of Regression Hypotheses"
November 11 Werner Ploberger, University of Rochester, "A Complete Class of Tests When the Likelihood is LAQ"
November 18 Woocheol Kim, Yale University, "Econometric Analysis of Evolving Time Series Models"
December 2 Binbin Guo, Yale University, "Testing, Estimation and Applications of Autoregressive Models with Conditional Heteroskedasticity"