Research Interests
Economic Development, Applied Microeconomics, Labor Economics,
Structural Estimation
Publications
"Health Consequences of Forest Fires in Indonesia" (with
Elizabeth Frankenberg and Duncan Thomas), Demography,
2005. (abstract,
paper)
Working Papers
"Forward Thinking and Family Support: Explaining Retirement
and Old Age Labor Supply in Indonesia" (Revise and Resubmit)
(abstract,
paper)
This article develops a structural dynamic model of
retirement for developing countries and estimates this model
using Indonesian data. The model incorporates forms of old
age support that are common in developed countries, such as
government pensions, as well as mechanisms that are more
important in developing countries including coresidence with
family members, transfer payments, and health-related changes
in labor productivity.
"Do Good Kids Finish First? Characterizing the Bequest Motive
in Mexico" (with Beth Soldo) (Under Review)
(abstract,
paper)
This paper tests the major bequest motive theories using
longitudinal data (the Mexican Health and Aging Study)
that include a population-representative sample of bequests
and bequest plans in Mexico. Results show that children who
provide support to parents and have more frequent contact with
them were significantly more likely to receive higher future
bequests than their siblings.
"The Longer-term Effects of Human Capital Enrichment Programs
on Poverty and Inequality: Oportunidades in Mexico" (with
Petra Todd) (Under Review)
(abstract,
paper)
Over the last ten years Mexico has improved the schooling and
health of millions of disadvantaged children through the
Oportunidades (previously PROGRESA) program. In this paper we use
nonparametric techniques to simulate the potential effects of
this program on future poverty rates and income inequality in
Mexico.
Work in Progress
"Retirement Behavior in Mexico After the 1997 Pension Reform"
(abstract)
In 1997 the Mexican government replaced its existing defined
benefit pension program with a system of privately managed
individual retirement accounts for all formal sector workers.
In this paper I model retirement behavior in this new policy
context and incorporate important factors such as private saving,
family support, and migration between urban and rural areas.
"Cross-Cohort Changes in the Returns to Schooling, Early
Work Experience, and Unobserved Skills"
(with Marigee Bacolod and V. Joseph Hotz)
(abstract)
This study uses two cohorts of the National Longitudinal
Survey to examine how the wage returns to schooling, early work
experience, and unobservable skills changed for
young men and women in the United States over the latter half
of the twentieth century.
"The Dynamics of Schooling and Occupational Choice in the
United States" (with Moshe Buchinsky)
In this paper we develop and estimate a structural dynamic model of
schooling and occupational choice using the NLSY79. We pay
close attention to the sensitivity of the model to different
assumptions about how individuals forecast the evolution of
returns to schooling and experience in different occupations
and industries.
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