ECON 466A: TOPICS IN INTERNATIONAL TRADE
FALL 2005
WEEKLY SCHEDULE AND ASSIGNMENTS
Week 1: Review of econometrics, data interpretation and the use of Stata. Application to US wages.
Reading: Revenga, A., "Exporting jobs? The impact of import competition on employment and wages in U.S. manufacturing," Quarterly Journal of Economics, 199
Week 2: Why do countries trade? What are the effects of trade policy?
Reading: Krugman and Obstfeld.
Week 3: Do more open economies grow faster?
Readings:
Sachs, J. and A. Warner, "Economic Reform and the Process of Global Integration," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1995
Rodríguez and Rodrik, "Trade Policy and Economic Growth: a Skeptic's Guide to the Cross-National Evidence," Macroeconomics Annual 2000, eds. B. Bernanke and K. Rogoff, MIT Press for NBER, Cambridge, MA, 2001
Empirical exercise about trade and growth -- posted in classesv2 website.
Other articles (not required):
Harrison, A, “Openness and Growth: a Time-Series Cross-Country Analysis for Developing Countries,” Journal of Development Economics, 1996
Frankel and Romer, “Does Trade Cause Growth?,” American Economic Review, 1999
Hallak, J.C. and J. Levinsohn, “Fooling Ourselves: Evaluating the Globalization and Growth Debate,” NBER Working Paper No. 10244, 2004
Papers cited in Rodríguez and Rodrik, and Hallak and Levinsohn
Week 4 (Sept. 27): Trade, outsourcing, immigration, and the rise in wage inequality in the U.S.
Readings:
Feenstra, R., "Advanced International Trade: Theory and Evidence," Princeton University Press, 2004, Chapter 4, Section on "Changes in Wages and Employment."
(This book is not freely available on-line. For copyright reasons this chapter can only be downloaded from the classesv2 website by students enrolled in 466a, with the sole purpose of using the material for this course).
Sachs, J. and H. Shatz, "Trade and jobs in U.S. manufacturing," Brooking Papers on Economic Activity, 1994
Empirical exercise about increase in inequality in the US -- posted in classesv2 website.
Presentation of Sachs, J. and H. Shatz
Presentation of Card, D., "The impact of the Mariel Boatlift on the Miami labor market," Industrial and Labor Relations Review, 1990
Other articles (not required):
Freeman, R., "Are your wages set in Beijing?," Journal of Economics Perspectives, 1995
Bound and Griliches, "Changes in the demand for skilled labor in US manufacturing: evidence from the annual survey of manufacturers," Quarterly Journal of Economics, 1994
Week 5 (Oct. 4): Trends in foreign direct investment
Press articles by Thomas Friedman (New York Times) (classesv2 website)
Write a letter to your Congressman assuming that you are a worker that has been displaced because of outsourcing (make up a story). Include economic arguments. After reading your letter, the Congressman decides to talk about your case with an economist that favors outsourcing. Write a second letter to the Congressman, assuming that you are now said economist, and contradict your original arguments. (Both letters will be read in class).
Readings: Feenstra - Integration and disintegration.
Presentation: Brainard, L., "An empirical assessment of the proximity-concentration trade-off between multinational sales and trade," American Economic Review, 1997; and
Presentation: Hanson G., R. Mataloni and M. Slaughter, "Expansion Strategies of US Multinational Firms," in Dani Rodrik and Susan Collins (eds) Brookings Trade Forum 2001, 2001
Non-required readings:
Week 6 (Oct. 11): Globalization and Anti-globalization
Readings: same as the presentations and press articles in "resources/sweatshops"
Presentation: Brown, Drusilla, "Labor Standards: Where do they belong on the International Trade Agenda?," The Journal of Economic Perspectives 15(3), Summer 2001, 89-112. (Rosanna)
Presentation: Edmonds, E. and N. Pavcnik, "Child Labor in the Global Economy," Journal of Economic Perspectives 18(1), Winter 2005, 199-220. (Megan)
Non-required articles:
Week 7 (Oct. 18): The world trading system
Read article from www.wto.org: Understanding the WTO
Week 8 (Oct. 25): Property rights
Readings and presentations:
Branstetter, Fisman and Foley, "Do Stronger Intellectual Property Rights Increase International Technology Transfer? Empirical Evidence from U.S. Firm-Level Data," NBER Working Paper No. 11516, 2005
(Sara)
Lanjouw, J., "The Introduction of Pharmaceutical Product Patents in India: "Heartless Exploitation of the Poor and Suffering"?," NBER Working Paper No. 6366, 1998 (Phillip)
Week 9 (Nov. 1): Dispute settlement in the WTO
Raj Krishna, "Antidumping in Law and in Practice," The World Bank, Policy Research Working Paper No. 1823, September 1997.
Gary Clyde Hufbauer,
Steel Policy: The Good, the Bad, and the Ugly, Institute for International
Economics
September 2004. +
LINKS to WTO SUMMARIES (John)
Goldstein, A. E. and S. M. McGuire, "The Political Economy of Strategic Trade Policy and the Brazil-Canada Export Subsidies Saga," The World Economy, Vol 27. No. 4, April 2004, 541-566. + LINK to WTO SUMMARIES (Ben)
Not required:
Julio Nogues, U.S. Contingent Protection against Honey Imports. World Bank Policy Research Working Paper No. 3088, June 2003.
Week 10 (Nov. 8): Agriculture
Antiglobalization:
Stop the Dumping! How EU Agricultural Subsidies are Damaging Livelihoods in the Developing Worlds, Oxfam Briefing Paper N. 31, November 2002.
Brazil and US cotton subsidies. (Doug)
http://www.oxfam.org/eng/pdfs/bp64_cotton_dumping_060904.pdf
WTO US Cotton subsidies webpage
US subsidies on corn. (Lin)
http://www.oxfam.org/eng/pdfs/pp030827_corn_dumping.pdf
Non-requiered reading:
Arvind Panagariya, "Agricultural Liberalization and the Least Developed Countries: Six Fallacies," forthcoming World Economy, 2005
Week 11 (Nov. 15): Trade policy lobbies
Goldberg, P. and G. Maggi, "Protection for sale: an empirical investigation", American Economic Review, 1999 (Owen)
Kee, H.L., M. Olarreaga and P. Silva, "Market access for sale: Latin America's lobbying for U.S. tariff preferences," The World Bank, 2004 (Owen)
Baldwin, R. and C. Magee (1998): "Is trade policy for sale? Congressional voting on recent trade bills, NBER Working Papers, 6376 (Jessica)
Non-required additional articles:
Trefler, D. "Trade Liberalization and the Theory of Endogenous Protection: An Econometric Study of U.S. Import Policy," Journal of Political Economy, 1993
Gawande, K. P. Sanguinetti and A. Bohara, "Exclusion for sale: evidence on the Grossman-Helpman theory of free trade agreements," forthcoming Journal of International Economics
Gawande, K., P. Krishna and M. Robbins, "Foreign lobbies and U.S. trade policy NBER Working Papers 10205, 2004
Baldwin, R. "The Political Economy of Trade Policy," Journal of Economic Perspectives, 1989
Week 12 (Nov. 29): Preferential trade agreements. Discussion of term papers.